Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.009776 0.011655 0.013955 0.017028 0.021113 0.026487 0.034321
2025-06-01 0.007143 0.009200 0.012018 0.016325 0.023070 0.033899 0.054297
2025-06-08 0.006033 0.008189 0.011384 0.016780 0.026416 0.044840 0.089674
2025-06-15 0.005169 0.007272 0.010568 0.016555 0.028392 0.054603 0.135972
2025-06-22 0.004411 0.006356 0.009519 0.015563 0.028433 0.060353 0.182711
2025-06-29 0.004002 0.005914 0.009149 0.015684 0.030819 0.073887 0.294167
2025-07-06 0.003742 0.005667 0.009059 0.016310 0.034690 0.095939 0.559475
2025-07-13 0.003594 0.005585 0.009242 0.017560 0.040918 0.135585 1.465981
2025-07-20 0.003395 0.005382 0.009152 0.018167 0.045770 0.179805 4.365316
2025-07-27 0.003173 0.005107 0.008872 0.018235 0.049010 0.224605 16.529629
2025-08-03 0.002986 0.004875 0.008641 0.018370 0.052689 0.285709 236.785156
2025-08-10 0.002768 0.004559 0.008186 0.017789 0.053302 0.326539 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002515 0.004174 0.007575 0.016767 0.052160 0.357010 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002312 0.003870 0.007111 0.016083 0.052325 0.412495 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002207 0.003748 0.007036 0.016528 0.058359 0.612127 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002073 0.003555 0.006768 0.016308 0.060950 0.799970 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001912 0.003291 0.006300 0.015337 0.058673 0.850329 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001826 0.003175 0.006172 0.015455 0.063169 1.246133 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001772 0.003121 0.006186 0.016069 0.071814 2.330795 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001748 0.003127 0.006352 0.017292 0.087220 7.026678 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001697 0.003071 0.006347 0.017887 0.099142 23.151581 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001629 0.002971 0.006217 0.017953 0.106630 85.436605 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001570 0.002884 0.006110 0.018086 0.115565 1374.799055 NaN